The Fed and Interest Rates

The Fed and Interest Rates

  • Maria Woods
  • 10/21/22
When the Fed began to raise interest rates earlier this year, it was thought they would level off by the end of 2022 and remain consistent through 2023 before decreasing again. But, unfortunately, inflation is far from leveling off, and it is projected that the Fed will have at least two more increases of .75% before tapering off to .5% increases or .25% increases.
 
According to FHLMC, interest rates will stay in the 5% to 6% range for the next three to four years. Once this becomes accepted, more sellers will re-engage in listing their properties, and buyers will return.
 
A recent article from the New York Times drew parallels between our present inflation situation and the inflation of the 1980s.
  1. Oil and gas prices skyrocketed during both periods.
  2. Government spending and stimulus increased. In the 1980s, it was President Johnson’s “guns and butter spending” on the Vietnam War and the Great Society, which the Federal Reserve accommodated with loose monetary policies. Today, it’s President Biden’s stimulus spending in reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic and the Federal Reserve accommodations.
  3. Inflation in the 1980s was hard to reign in as it appears to be now, but both periods were experimental in trying to find ways to control it. The unknown about what and how long it will take to control inflation is keeping our sellers and buyer’s from being more active.
  4. In both periods, fewer transactions occurred due to high interest rates; however, housing prices stayed level.
It is important to note from this comparison that those who bought or sold homes during the 1980s were among the most successful and saw the most appreciation in their investment, reinforcing that real estate is one of the safest hedges against inflation. Whether your clients are buyers who were shut out of the market over the last two years or sellers who can still take advantage of the low inventory on the market, now is the time to make a move!
 
 
Linnea Arrington
Founder & President
NMLS #241288, DRE #00480540
 

Pacific Sothebys International Realty✨ | Team Amber Anderson | DRE #01423536 & DRE#02037792

 
 

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